The Retail Doctor Blog

Figuring the Lifetime Value of Your Retail Customers

Written by Bob Phibbs | October 25, 2021

So many times, we concentrate on a transaction value instead of the lifetime value of a customer.

When I worked in the coffeehouse business, we tried to come up with a way to show franchisees and their employees that we didn't have the luxury of a bad customer service experience.

We needed to show them that customers who walked in once but didn't come back represented far more than that one drink.

And it had to be meaningful and based on fact.

We calculated the lifetime value of our customers.

We began by noticing that an average customer order was worth $4.

A regular came into the shop once a day for five days out of the week, which equaled around $1000 a year.

Local demographics were that people moved about once every 4-5 years.

Those financial details showed us that grabbing a new customer and providing an exceptional experience, if we did it right, was worth about $4500.

And if we blew it, it wasn't $4; it was $4500!

Do you know what the lifetime value of your customer is?

How to calculate the lifetime value of your customer

1. Start with what you know - your average ticket or average sale from your POS system.  Taking it from at least three months' worth of information will make it more reliable - even better, a full year.

2. The next is a bit tricky as a retailer, but everyone has regular customers. You can look at your loyalty club, your POS system again, or anything to make an educated guess.

3. Next, look up the demographic information of your zip code.  Specifically, you're looking for the churn of customers over time. In short, how often do residents move?  I used to say go to the local library and ask them to help you with it but now you might ask a realtor friend, an apartment rental service, or look online through your own ingenuity. 

4. Now multiply the results you've found to make an educated calculation about your customer's lifetime value. 

Now you know that lifetime value, you probably have much more respect for a single person walking in your doors. 

How to grow a strong lifetime value for customers

Begin by sharing with employees, so they realize how important first impressions count.
 

When everyone knows the lifetime value of a customer walking in your business, they'll put more effort into making it meaningful.