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Retail Holiday Sales Predictions 2010

It’s the end of September and all eyes are looking towards holiday sales numbers. Will they be too little? Too late? Or just right?

I’ve researched the media going back over ten years and one thing is for certain:

When you read a newspaper, retail holiday sales will suck.

When you turn on the TV, retail holiday sales will suck.

When you read a magazine, retail holiday sales will suck.

How do I know that’s what you’ll see, hear, or read?

Because the evidence shows a pattern to these stories which appear each year.

It doesn’t matter if it was holiday 2002 – the year after 9/11.

Or holiday 2007, the height of the real estate boom.

Or just last year, the messages are all the same: retailers will be getting coal for Christmas. Even when 10 out of those 11 years sales actually increased.

That’s right. IncreasedContinue reading Retail Holiday Sales Predictions 2010 »

Main Street Must Be Interdependent Businesses, Not Independent

There is a renewed emphasis on downtown Main Street because they are what gives their communities character. You don’t get that from a concrete, tilt-up big-box development out by the interstate.

The National Trust for Historic Preservation is behind the excellent Main Street program because America’s foundation for greatness has come from honoring and preserving the best of the past.

Originally, Main Street had the saloon, the hotel, the livery, the general store, the church — all of the services — because they all needed each other. The key to any Main Street program or Downtown Business Association is to remove the idea of “independent business” and understand it is “interdependent” businesses.

That interdependency is what spelled doom for so many downtowns in the 1970s and 1980s when they didn’t care what the other guy was doing. Now the best Main Street businesses understand, “if I close early, I could be hurting the very neighbors I depend on to make a living.”

The worst still close on Sundays and limit hours to when it is convenient for the owner.  I call that “hobby retailing.”  That’s not smart in a hyper-competitive environment for everything from furniture to food, from plasmas to plants and from coffee houses to craft stores.

Smart retailers will find they can do with smaller footprints in this economy which perfectly fits many historic areas so expect to see more variety and selection as America rebuilds its core.

With gas costs rising, we’ll see more interest in the downtowns that were so quickly abandoned for the concrete reality of the malls. It won’t happen easily or quickly, but clearly with over a thousand Main Street programs across the country, it is gaining steam.

Learn how to grow your business here.

Retail Sales Training: The Difference Between I can and I won’t

I was on the sales floor, conducting a Retail Selling Boot Camp for a client in Minneapolis recently when I came to a roadblock. I was coaching a young woman on the new greeting we were going to use. She half-heartedly tried again and again and kept saying after each, “I can’t do this.” Continue reading Retail Sales Training: The Difference Between I can and I won’t »

Customer Service: Keep Your Opinions To Yourself

I had a stopover in Chicago last night. Tired, Boingo wi-fi down, what else was there to do but eat? No more chocolate, no popcorn – a fresh handmade pretzel – perfect.

I walked over to the counter and ordered a plain one. “$3.49 Sir.” I hadn’t expected it to be that much so I simply said in my kidding self, “It better be a great pretzel for that price.” The guy answered, “I can’t speak to that – I don’t like pretzels.”

I took the product and walked away. The pretzel was thin, warm but kinda stale. It’s almost like the kid knew it wasn’t up to snuff.

I then went back to the United counter to see if my upgrade had been cleared. With a few strokes of the keys the agent pronounced, ” I can’t deal with this new crap we got to do. I just can’t do it for you. Where is the code I’m supposed to do? I can’t deal with this.” And on and on. She finally called another woman over who showed how to retrieve the information by entering the word “ALL.” Not before she had processed all her frustration in front of me.

News for managers: we don’t care what your employees have to go through to help the public and if they don’t use the product, they probably won’t have any respect for it being made or delivered properly.

What would have been the right thing to say for the pretzel guy? “We sell a lot of ‘em and if it isn’t the best pretzel you’ve eaten, we’ll either get you another or refund your purchase.”  What should the United gate agent have said? “Will you excuse me for a moment? I need to get help with this.”

How have simple courtesy and professionalism been obliterated? A world where the far right is on TV and in the papers red-faced screaming about the injustices they have to deal with and the far left is on TV and in the papers red-faced screaming about the injustices they have to deal with treating issues like they were people.

And you and your employees are watching it all – confirming every bad thing you may have thought on the politcal spectrum – not to inform but to remain part of the hive.

I entered a local drugstore a couple weeks ago to hear a woman bemoaning healthcare reform in the same soundbites as she had heard on Fox that morning. The pharmacist came out from behind the glass to loudly add his two cents, “What do you expect from a Muslim not even born in the US.?”

No wonder people bemoan customer service! How can you throw the switch from working yourself up about something you’ve seen on TV – equating any conflict to a personal dig – and then walk in to your store or restaurant and put the needs of your customers first?

How to deal with all of this? Tell your employees day one: keep your frustrations and opinions to yourself.

You can learn more about growing your business here.

6 Tips For How To Buy At A Trade Show

Information is power. Lew Platt, the former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, once famously said: “If HP knew what HP knows, we would be three times as profitable!” Information is all around us but the trick is, what to do with it.

If you are planning a trip to Toy Fair, PMA, your local merchandise mart or other trade show I have some advice for you:

1) Prepareknow your numbers.  Not your macro numbers like how we did for the month but the micro numbers.  What are your top five categories in gross sales and if you can access it, in terms of profitability.  Some businesses use lots of loss-leaders which may sell a lot but actually cost them money. That’s not what you want.  Look at all of your categories and find your top five to seven.  Then find your bottom five to ten.

2) Analyze. Many independent business owners are chronic over-buyers.  It’s so much fun to go to New York or Chicago and buy things! But if you bring something new in, that means something has to go.  You can’t just keep putting more merch in your store.  If sales were down 5% last year then your inventory level should be down 5% as well.

3) Make a shopping list.  Go to the show looking only to add to your most profitable, best-selling categories.

4) Be liberal.  With your best categories, go ahead, try new things, unproven things, things you have a hunch on.  The marketplace looks to you for such items because those categories are paying off for you.  You’re safe because, you’re “fishing where the fish are” trying new bait.  Even if gosh forbid you buy a stinker, you will be able to move it out quicker because there is more demand in the category. With me?

5) Be conservative. With your bottom categories, STOP. Don’t buy more because those categories aren’t contributing enough to your bottom line. I learned this in the coffee business.  Everyone said, “tea is the next big thing, you need to expand your tea offerings.”  We looked at tea sales which were less than 1%.  Even if we doubled the menu, it still wouldn’t produce the jump needed to support more POP, product and training.  Simply put, customers didn’t look to us for their tea needs. Instead we looked at the blended cold coffee drinks and tried various flavors because they represented 40% of sales – we were safe because people looked to us for those kinds of drinks and would be open to it. In your case, if you must replenish something, make sure it is a proven #1 best-seller or pass. Remember it was the pioneers who got the arrows; be a settler once an item has survived in the marketplace in your lower categories, then bring it in.

6) Use an open-to-buy.  In its most basic form it means you can’t buy unless something else has sold.  This helps keep you from overbuying for your store.

These are by no means all the tips to successful merchandise selection but they should help put money in your jeans, instead of in your vendors.  That’s because merchandise is like milk; it goes bad quickly so you only want to carry what you need, not what you want.

I cover more on this in my new book.

(If you are attending a conference, visit http://www.retaildoc.com/attend-a-conference-article.html to read how to get the most from it.)